Monday, September 6, 2010

Chances of double dip recession in US raised: Roubini


Economist Nouriel Roubini has come out with yet another chilling prediction. Roubini warns that the chances of a double dip recession in the US have increased as the second half of the year is expected to be even worse, reports ONE OF THE NATIONAL NEWS CHANNEL.

“Compared to six months ago when the probability of double dip was very low, right now, I expect it to be very high,” Roubini warned.

“Growth in Q2 has been revised downwards from 2.4% to 1.6%, given the construction numbers will be revised down to 1.2%,” he added.

He reasoned that based on the data the second half of the year is going to be worse than the first half 2 because all the tailwinds will become headwinds. He is concerned that if we finish Q2 with 1.2% then the second half will be worse.

“Once the growth rate is 1%, you are already in a growth recession, and then the risk is that the financial markets are going to have a downturn,” Roubini said.