RBI raises key rates; FM: may impact short-term growth

Hardening its stance on inflation, RBI Tuesday raised some key policy rates prompting finance minister Pranab Mukherjee to caution that it could have some short-term negative impact on growth.

The apex bank increased its short-term lending (repo) and borrowing (reverse repo) rates by 25 basis points to 6.25 percent and 5.25 percent respectively, but the commercial banks said they would not increase their lending rates immediately.

"This tightening may have some negative impact on the growth rate, but I expect such an effect to be only a short one. In the medium to long term, the changes announced by the RBI today should actually help the Indian economy do better in terms of growth," Mukherjee said.

This was the sixth time this year that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has raised repo and reverse repo rates. The apex bank, however, hoped that going forward it may not have to up the rates further.

India Inc expressed apprehensions that the RBI decision would make loans expensive and may dampen industrial growth.

"This (RBI move) in turn would adversely impact the interest sensitive sectors like consumer durables and auto, which have led the growth hitherto as also on the housing demand," Ficci secretary feneral Amit Mitra said.

RBI has pegged the growth rate for the current fiscal at 8.5 percent, up from 7.4 percent in the previous fiscal.

The mid-year policy initiatives, according to Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia, were in sync with the actions of other central banks.

Although banks said they would refrain from immediately hiking rates, they may not be able to hold on to the existing rate-level for long as demand for credit increases and depositors put pressure on them to raise interest rates.

"So, whether it (hike by RBI) will raise pressure on the system? Eventually, it will. Whether there would be immediate reaction? Not likely," said SBI chairman O P Bhatt.

The hike in the key interest rates according to RBI is aimed at containing inflation, which is above the "comfort level."

Inflation was 8.62 percent in September and food inflation was 13.75 percent in mid-October. RBI has pegged inflation at 5.5 percent by the fiscal- end.

"Today is not such an easy time. The signals from the economy have been mixed. Industrial growth showed a slight slowing down in August. Inflation, while less than what it was some months ago, is still not in a zone where we can sit back," Mukherjee added.

RBI, however, refrained from raising the cash reserve ratio (CRR), which is the proportion of deposits that the banks keep with the central bank, in view of tight liquidity situation.

"I am glad that RBI has risen to the challenge and used a very careful combination of policies to complement what the government is doing to steer our economy to grow better and harness inflation," Mukherjee said.

Stock markets reacted mildly to the hike in policy rates by RBI with the benchmark Sensex ending the day flat. The 30-share index closed 9.94 points lower at 20,345.69 points.

"RBI's move to hike the key policy rates are in line with the Street's expectations and equity markets have not reacted much to the announcement since it has already be factored in," Axis Mutual Fund CEO and MD Rajiv Anand said.

Expressing concern at excessive borrowing for homes, the Reserve Bank also tightened norms for housing loans as well as controversial teaser loans.

The Reserve Bank also cautioned against rising stock and gold prices.

It said huge capital inflows in emerging economies are resulting in appreciation of local currencies and asset prices.

The central bank said it may intervene if forex flows are lumpy and volatile.

RBI panel to review repo, reverse repo process

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Monday said its committee on monetary policy will review the operating procedure with respect to repo, reverse repo auctions; width of the interest rate corridor; and frequency and timing of reverse repo and repo auctions.
In its quarterly policy review in July, the RBI had announced its plan to set up a panel to monitor the operating procedure of the monetary policy, including liquidity adjustment facility.
Rate corridor is the spread between repo rate -- the rate at which the RBI infuses liquidity -- and reverse repo rate -- the rate at which liquidity is drained out.
The panel will look at monetary policy in the light of global practices and domestic experience.

The terms of reference include:
* whether there is a need for a rate corridor at all
* whether its width should be fixed or variable
* what are the tools necessary to enable the corridor to function efficiently.

The committee will be headed by Deepak Mohanty, executive director, RBI.
The panel will also compare its monetary policy with operating methods of other central banks, the RBI said.
The RBI had introduced repo and reverse repo rates in June 2000 when it had started the liquidity adjustment facility.
Besides interest rates, other tools such as cash reserve ratio (CRR), open market operations (OMO) and market stabilisation scheme (MSS), have served the monetary policy management well, the RBI said.

"However, India's increasing integration with the global economy, large volatility in capital flows and sharp fluctuations in government cash balances have posed several challenges to liquidity management by the Reserve Bank, particularly in effectively signalling the monetary policy stance," the RBI said, explaining the rationale behind forming the panel.
The committee will also the assess the role of Bank Rate, which has been unchanged since April 2003 and is considered defunct now as no real interest rates are linked to this rate.
Bank Rate was used to signal change in interest rates over medium to long term, while repo and reverse repo rates are short-term rate tools.